AARON SNYDER: Better to pick against instincts?

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September 14, 2012

AARON SNYDER: Better to pick against instincts?

Aaron Snyder The Independent The Daily Independent Fri Sep 14, 2012, 06:00 AM EDT

ASHLAND — What’s up with all these points?

Last week, Ashland had 47, Lawrence County 49, Rowan County 55 and Raceland 59!!!

Can we tone it down some? Some of us have a deadline to meet on Friday nights and all this clock-stopping isn’t allotting us much time to relate our writing brilliance to the masses.

But, here’s what it does ... it gets more names in that box score.

However, individual statistics won’t be major points of concern in some of the important contests impending tonight.

I’ve learned that, especially in trying to predict high school sports outcomes, I’m usually just as accurate when going with the gut feeling.

However, my tendency to overanalyze typically prevails.

In the two biggest games of the week — Ashland at Ironton and Boyd County at Russell — my instincts told me to go

Ashland and Russell.

Did I stick with my instincts? Or did I pull a George Costanza in the Seinfeld episode “The Opposite?”

For Costanza, everything worked out beautifully when he elected to go against his instincts.

SPOILER ALERT: If that’s the case for me, I’ll be sitting pretty at 2-0.

Here we go ...

Fairview 42, Casey County 21: Might as well call them the Runnin’ Rebels a la UNLV. Casey County is throwing just six times a games. Eagles don’t air it out much more than that. Expect the Eagles to run to the end zone more.

Fleming County 35, East Carter 17: The Panthers’ passing prowess has its quarterback, Desmond McAdams, ranked second in the state in passing yardage. It’ll be too much for the Raiders.

Grant County 41, Greenup County 14: Musketeers still can’t catch a break. Maybe the bus ride will have the Braves stiff and stagnant early, but they’ll be loose enough by the second half.

Johnson Central 28, Logan (WV) 16: Jury’s still out on Johnson Central. Golden Eagles are good, but how good? Time will tell. I think they get a hard-fought win at home.

Lawrence County 36, Letcher Central 22: With all the questions on offense heading into the season, the Dawgs are sure pouring on the points. Now, stopping people? That’s been an issue. It’s made for some thrillers, but Bulldogs cruise here.

Allen Central 18, Paintsville 14: Tigers have a real chance for their first win here. I think they come up agonizingly short.

Raceland 48, Sciotoville Community 35: Not as much action on the scoreboard as last year (110 total points) but should be an entertaining one nontheless.

West Jessamine 37, Rowan County 35: Colts came close to getting win No. 1 last Friday against Mercer County (31-28 loss). They edge the Vikings, only because they’re at home.

Boyd County 21, Russell 14: Emotions will be running high, which is a recipe for mistakes. It’s also a recipe for a tight game. Throwing aside the subplots, like coaches and quarterbacks going against former teams, this game is more important for the Lions because they need a bigger boost heading into a much tougher district than the Red Devils play in, and they show it by eking out a victory.

Ironton 28, Ashland 21: Well, well, well, what do we have here? I detect an instant classic at Tanks Memorial Stadium. Both teams have power and speed at running back. Both have a first-year starting quarterback. Both have experience on the front lines. Both are physical.

I went back and forth on this game more times than a confused college student deciding on a major.

Ah, I’ll say Ironton ... in overtime.

AARON SNYDER can be reached at asnyder@dailyindependent.com or (606) 326-2664.

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